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Archive for the ‘Europe’ Category
Tuesday, June 7th, 2011
Property prices in Dublin drop by 46% and house prices outside the capital are down by 36%, the Central Statistics Office said
The decline in house prices in Ireland is accelerating with apartments now worth just 53% of their peak price in 2007, government figures show. House prices in Dublin are down 46% and outside the capital the drop is 36%, the Central Statistics Office said.
The collapse of value in apartments is being put down to over-supply and the continued lack of mortgage lending by the main Irish banks, even after the bailout.
Stephen McCarthy, managing director of Space estate agents believes the true picture is worse. He joined UK auctioneers Allsop for a mass auction of distressed properties in April and is planning a second one on 7 July with 87 properties going under the hammer, including a six-bedroom house in Dublin on Ailesbury Road, Ireland’s most expensive street. It has a reserve of €1.45m (£884,000). A similar house on the same road was bought by bust property developer Derek Quinlan in 2007 for €8.5m.
“There’s a lagging indicator with the figures. The auction in April shows that house prices were down 47% on peak. Property is certainly down more than 50% on average in Dublin,” said McCarthy. “Recovery won’t happen until the banks start lending again.”
He said for the first time in living memory it was now cheaper to buy than to rent but “Mr and Mrs Murphy just can’t borrow the money”.
The CSO’s Residential Property Price Index shows that property prices fell by 1% in April compared to a decrease of 0.7% in April last year. The annual figures show the decrease in value is accelerating.
Posted in Europe, House News, House prices, Ireland, Money, News, Property, The Guardian, World news | Comments Closed
Saturday, May 21st, 2011
Former IMF chief released from jail but unable to move into $14,000-a-month flat as building’s residents objected
Dominique Strauss-Kahn was granted bail on Friday but the former International Monetary Fund boss is finding New York an unwelcoming city.
Strauss-Kahn had been hoping to move into a $14,000 (£8,620) a month apartment in the luxurious Bristol Plaza building on the upper east side of Manhattan – a building that bills itself on its website as “Better than a hotel”. But the building’s management barred Strauss-Kahn before he could even get out of jail.
Late on Friday night he was reported to have moved into far less salubrious accommodation in downtown Manhattan, although the new arrangement will be a huge improvement on the cell in New York’s notorious Rikers Island prison, where he has spent the past four nights.
Anne Sinclair, Strauss-Kahn’s wife and a former journalist, was said to have hired two apartments in the Bristol Plaza. News of his new abode attracted a huge media scrum outside the building and objections from residents. Police had to put up barricades to hold back the TV crews.
The Bristol Plaza is located in one of Manhattan’s most exclusive neighbourhoods. It is positioned just a few blocks from designer department stores Bloomingdales and Barneys.
Speaking anonymously, one resident said the media scrum was the first news he had heard of Strauss-Kahn’s arrival. “It’s outrageous. You think someone would have told us. I am going to object to this,” he said.
Strauss-Kahn will now stay in a corporate apartment near the site of the former World Trade Center, managed by Stroz Friedberg LLC, the investigations and surveillance company that oversaw the house arrest of fraudster Bernard Madoff as he awaited trial.
A judge granted Strauss-Kahn bail on Thursday, while he fights charges that he attempted to rape a hotel chambermaid. The former IMF boss has posted a $1m cash deposit as well as a $5m insurance bond as bail.
He is to be kept under house arrest, wear an electronic tag to monitor his movements and pay $200,000-a-month to hire a 24-hour, gun-toting security team authorised to use force should he attempt to flee.
“I expect you will be here when we need you,” judge Michael Obus said when granting bail. “If there is the slightest problem, we can withdraw conditions.”
Strauss-Kahn resigned from his position at the IMF on Thursday. The institution is set to hand him a $250,000 golden handshake and a life-long pension that would be “far, far less than that amount in subsequent years,” said the IMF.
The former IMF head was jailed after he was seized on an Air France plane at JFK airport last Saturday, just moments before it took off. Strauss-Kahn will formally answer charges on 6 June.
The 32-year-old hotel maid who has accused Strauss-Kahn of attempted rape is currently in hiding. She gave details of her ordeal to a grand jury this week and told police she entered his hotel room to clean it, thinking it was empty. He then allegedly jumped from a bathroom naked and attacked her. He denies all charges.
It wasn’t all bad news for Strauss-Kahn however. Tristane Banon, a journalist who claimed Strauss-Kahn sexually assaulted her eight years ago, said she wouldn’t file a criminal complaint against him for the time being.
Banon’s lawyer, David Koubbi, told BFM TV that the journalist would decide later about filing a complaint because she didn’t “want to be manipulated by the US justice system”.
Posted in Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Europe, France, House News, Money, New York, News, Property, Renting property, The Guardian, United States, World news | Comments Closed
Wednesday, April 20th, 2011
The Ukrainian billionaire has just bought the most expensive property ever sold in the UK
Age: 44.
Appearance: Evil Adrian Chiles.
I’d say he looks more like a posh Ralph Wiggum. Perhaps.
Or a crushed Louis Walsh. Shall we move on?
Sure. Let me guess: he’s a super-rich billionaire. That’s a tautology.
So’s evil Adrian Chiles. Touche. Yes. He’s a super-rich billionaire. Forbes magazine lists him as the 39th richest person in the world, with a £9bn empire run from headquarters in Donetsk, the eastern Ukrainian mining town where Akhmetov was born. Naturally, he now owns the football team. He made his first million trading coal and now runs steel, electricity and media businesses.
Ooh, I’ve got another one! Pointy Chris Huhne. Brilliant. They do indeed look vaguely similar. Can we talk about what he’s done now?
What has he done? He has bought a pair of new flats at One Hyde Park in Knightsbridge, London. For £136m.
And? And he’s spending another £60m knocking them through into a three-storey penthouse with a private cinema, a 21m swimming pool, saunas and a gym. Treated as one property, the resulting £136m apartment is the most expensive residential UK property ever sold.
Looks like Peter Beardsley’s less talented brother has done all right for himself. That’s enough with the look-alikes now. We don’t want to get in trouble with a billionaire.
Don’t we? That’s not what I signed up for. I’m a serious investigative journalist. No, you’re not. You’re me pressing Ctrl and B and pretending to be an idiot. Now ask me one more question and let’s wrap this up.
Fine. Anything else we ought to know about this Akhmetov guy? Ukrainian journalists have accused him of having links to organised crime. A claim we should definitely, definitely point out he has vigorously denied.
Surely that’s the part that will get us in trouble. Let’s hope not.
Do say: “He looks like a nice man with a forgiving sense of humour.”
Don’t say: “He also looks a bit like a sad owl.”
Posted in Europe, Features, House News, House prices, London, Money, Property, The Guardian, UK news, Ukraine, World news | Comments Closed
Tuesday, March 29th, 2011
Knight Frank global house price index shows prices across the world last year recovered by 2.8% after a 3.8% drop in 2009
The global housing sector is operating a two-speed market as prices of western properties stagnate while the value of homes in emerging economies continues to power ahead.
House prices across the world staged a modest recovery last year, rising by 2.8% after a 3.8% decline in 2009, according to the latest Knight Frank global house price index. The global housing market benefited as strong price growth in the Asia-Pacific and the Middle East offset stagnation in Europe and the US.
Hong Kong saw the biggest increases, with house prices jumping more than 20% last year, while Ireland record the biggest decline, of nearly 11%, according to Knight Frank.
The UK came about two-thirds of the way down the global ranking, with prices rising 0.7% last year, compared to 3% growth in Germany, a 4.1% decline in the US and a 4.1% rise in Canada.
Liam Bailey, head of residential research at Knight Frank, said: “There are two stories here. The headline figure confirms relatively benign conditions but this hides big regional and country level differences.
This annual data hides the fact that a growing number of countries are seeing negative quarterly price movements,” Bailey adds.
The percentage of countries in Knight Frank’s 49-country index recording quarterly price declines rose from 31% to 41% in the second half of 2010.
Bailey warned that parts of Asia, such as areas in Mumbai and along the eastern seaboard in China, were at risk of overheating after prices doubled in 18 months.
North America was flat – helped by price increases in Canada – while Europe saw a 1.4% increase after a 7.7% decline in 2009.
“This year the outlook for the US and Europe is pretty slow. Growth in the US is likely to stick around zero, while in Europe it could dip to zero or even be negative,” Bailey said.
“It looks increasingly likely that Asian markets will escape a crash in prices, but in many of the previously ‘hot markets’ price falls later this year seem a realistic assumption,” he added.
House price growth by region in 2010
Asia-Pacific: 7.5%
Middle East: 5.3%
South America: 3.8%
Europe: 1.4%
North America: 0%
Price growth by country
:Hong Kong: +20.1%
Latvia: +16.9%
Israel: +16.2%
China: +15.3%
Singapore: +14.0%
Austria: 9.9%
France: 9.5%
India: 8.9%
Poland: 8.1%
Denmark: 7.8%
Taiwan: 7.4%
Sweden: 5.2%
Germany: 3.0%
Turkey: 2.6%
South Africa: 0.9%
Russia: 0.9%
Iceland: -1.4%
Italy: -1.4%
Spain: -3.5%
Portugal: -4.0%
Greece: -6.0%
Dubai: -6.1%
Ireland: -10.8%
Source: Knight Frank Global House Price Index
Posted in Business, Economics, Europe, Global economy, House News, House prices, Money, News, Property, The Guardian, World news | Comments Closed
Saturday, March 19th, 2011
Germany seems to offer cheaper rents and more choice than the UK. But is the grass really grüner?
First-time buyers in Britain are struggling. House prices remain high, mortgages are hard to come by, and deposits are difficult to find. Many are now renting until long into their 30s, but survey after survey suggests that homeownership is still the ultimate goal for a British family. Yet in Europe’s most economically successful country, Germany, renting is the norm. Is the grass really grüner on the continent?
As the Germans like to say, “Jein” – or yes and no. For a start, renting is not necessarily the cheap option. In thriving cities like Hamburg, Cologne and Munich, tenants might be spending up to half their wages on rent. And the prospect of paying a landlord well into old age appeals to Germans no more than it does to the Brits.
“The interest in home ownership is certainly growing,” says Dr Jan Linsin, head of research Germany at property services company CB Richard Ellis. But young Germans don’t feel too frustrated if they cannot get on the property ladder, whereas the Brits do. The difference in attitude reflects the difference in the housing markets – over the past 10 years UK residential property prices have nearly doubled, while in Germany they have risen a mere 2%-3%.
So what keeps prices down, and why don’t more Germans buy? Firstly, there is the supply of good quality rental accommodation. According to CB Richard Ellis, German housing associations and municipal authorities hold about 12% of stock, private housing companies 10%, and property funds about 1%; the rest is held by private investors.
Regional variations are enormous – in Berlin, the rental property share is an incredible 90% of the total residential market, which obviously keeps prices down; even in prosperous Hamburg the rental market is nearly 80%. But in other states like Saarland and Rhineland-Palatinate, homeownership is almost 60%, the highest in Germany.
Secondly, the Germans keep the purse strings tight. Stringent lending requirements ensure there isn’t an oversupply of housing finance available – lenders are risk-averse and normally require a deposit of 20% or substantial collateral, and proof of good earnings over several years, which for many would-be buyers is impossible.
Germany’s tax regime is not particularly favourable for property owners either. It is highly likely the Grunderwerbsteuer (property transfer tax) will soon rise to about 5% in many states – an average increase of about 1% – and Grundsteuer (annual land tax) is also expected to follow suit – it is currently about 1.3% of the value of single-residential properties. And while there used to be Eigenheimzulage (mortgage relief) worth up to £1,000 a year, plus a further £680 per child for the first eight years following a house purchase, it was dropped in 2006.
So how does renting work out in practice in Germany? We compared renting and buying in London with Munich, which is easily the most expensive city and the closest Germany has to London.
Despite having a population of only 1.34 million, Munich is home to commercial powerhouses like Siemens, Allianz and BMW, several leading universities and institutes, and numerous high-tech firms.
Heike and Steffen Hengstler and their eight-year-old son Leon live in a decent-sized two-bedroom flat (105 square metres) in a prime location – just two minutes’ walk from the fast-flowing Isar, five minutes from the prestigious Deutsches museum and 10 minutes from Marienplatz, the heart of the city. The closest equivalent in the UK would be London’s Bayswater, with Hyde Park and Marble Arch just half a mile or so away.
The Hengstler’s rent is £1,170, including bills totalling £200; the same kind of accommodation in Bayswater would cost about £2,000 a month, bills included, so you can understand why the Hengstlers are smiling: renting is about £830 a month cheaper than here.
If they were to buy a similar property in Munich it would cost them perhaps more than many British people assume to be the average in Germany.
In Munich, a two-bed centrally-located flat would fetch around £400,000. Assuming the Hengstlers paid 25% in cash, the repayment mortgage over 20 years at an assumed rate of 4% would be around £1,800 a month, plus £200 for bills – so renting saves them about £1,400 a month.
So while the grass in Germany is definitely a shade or two greener, it is not as verdant as you might have thought. The fact is that wherever you are, you don’t want to be paying rent in your retirement. Although Germany is better value than the UK, buying property is still out of the reach of most.
The grim reality of today’s property markets – whether it is Munich or London – is that most young people cannot get on the property ladder without parental help or inheriting.
Where tenants get a better deal
Heike Hengstler rented in London for a few years before moving to Munich where she works as a freelance graphic designer. She and husband Steffen, who has his own web-design firm, rent a generous, two-bed apartment in the centre of Munich.
Heike also has a flat in her hometown of Hamburg that she lets out, and one in Munich.
She has no doubts that Germany offers tenants a better deal than the UK: “There’s more to rent here and it’s all very transparent. You can check if your rent is fair using the Mietspiegel [rental index] on the Munich city website. If you are paying too much, the tenants’ association will step in for you.”
Rents are tightly controlled and cannot normally be increased by more than 20% nominally over three years. Unlimited contracts are standard and tenants, if given notice, can demand continuation.
Deposits are normally for three months and must be repaid with interest on moving out. Agents normally take a two-month fee, although many landlords let directly.
Property is normally freshly decorated in white before tenants move in, and must be repainted when they leave.
“Because tenants rent in the long term, they may do some renovating. Sometimes the incoming tenants might have to pay extra towards them as a condition of taking over the flat – and that can run to a few thousand euros,” Heike says.
But tenants get a “pretty good deal” compared with Britain, she says. “It’s easier and cheaper for young people to get a place to live and to move about, but in the long term no one wants to be paying rent here either.”
Ownership isn’t an obsession
One reason why the Germans aren’t as obsessed with homeownership as the Brits is that it has been many years since Germany has experienced a house price bubble.
Unlike most of the rest of Europe it didn’t enjoy a housing boom during the past decade. In fact, real house prices have fallen since the mid-1990s, says the Rics European Housing Review 2011, an authoritative annual study of Europe’s property markets.
“With long-term falling house prices, it is unsurprising that there hasn’t been a rush towards owner-occupation over the past decades, because of the potential capital losses from purchase,” the report states .
But things are looking up: German house prices rose by around 4% in 2010, compared to a decline of 2% the previous year, and a separate study from website Rightmove and currency firm Moneycorp says Germany is rising up the ranks of popular countries for Britons looking to buy overseas homes.
The Rics report says it is “misleading to classify Germany simply as a nation of renters”, though it acknowledges the country has the highest proportion of people renting in the EU. Latest data shows the homeownership rate stable at around 42% – though it is just 20% in Hamburg. Rupert Jones
Posted in Business, Europe, Features, Germany, House News, House prices, Housing market, Money, Mortgages, Property, Renting property, The Guardian, World news | Comments Closed
Thursday, March 17th, 2011
Germany has avoided British-style property market bubbles
It takes a while for a British visitor window-shopping in any German town to realise that something is missing. But then it clicks: someone has removed all the estate agents.
The lack of a physical presence on the high street is symbolic of two polarised national psyches. Britain is fixated by the property market; Germany is not. The Brits want to clamber on the housing ladder at the first opportunity; Germans are happy to rent. Britain has had four boom-and-busts in the housing market in the past four decades; German house prices are actually lower in real terms than they were in 1970.
According to the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, house prices increased by an average of 83% between 1970 and 2008 in OECD countries. In Germany, they fell 17%, mainly due to a pronounced drop over the past decade when countries such as the United States, Britain and Ireland saw huge house-price bubbles. Prices in the UK surged by 282% between 1970 and 2009, the latest OECD figures show.
For Germans, the financial crisis that followed the property boom has reinforced their suspicion of rising house prices. The idea that families would sit around the dinner table discussing how much their home had risen in value over the past year is alien.
Arguably, the tenant is “king” in Germany, enjoying far greater rights and protection from poor landlords, as well as the freedom to decorate their homes (although you have to repaint the walls “in neutral colours” before you leave a property).
Eviction is virtually unheard of, and both sides have to give each other three months’ notice. For the landlord, this rises to six months once the tenant has stayed in the property for five years, and nine months after an eight-year rental.
With less stigma attached to renting than in Britain, just 45% of homes in Germany are owner-occupied, one of the lowest rates in Europe. This compares with 70% in the UK, 85% in Spain and 75% in Ireland, according to figures from Nomura.
There are also big regional differences among. In the west German states, the share is a good deal higher (around 60%) while the east German Bundeslaender have a share of around 13%. Berlin has a share of 15%.
“Germany as a whole is low but part of that reflects low rates in the east which I suspect is a legacy from the DDR period,” says Jens Sondergaard, senior European economist at Nomura.
Other reasons include the difficulty to get mortgages – you need a large deposit – and the national reluctance to borrow. Few people would use their credit cards to go shopping; they either use their eurocheque cards which give them three days until the money leaves their accounts, or take advantage of 0% finance offers for bigger purchases.
Those who rent tend to treat the property as a real home, decorating it and doing far more of the maintenance themselves than a tenant would in Britain. On average, a tenant spends three to seven years in one property, much longer than in other countries.
In rural areas, however, many people build their own homes. Klaus Mandel, of the regional body of Heilbronn-Franken in the south-west, says 70% of people in the countryside have constructed their own homes.
There is no sign that Germany will contract the British housing “disease”. The OECD cites high subsidies for the building of homes, which contributed to a rise in supply, especially after reunification, leading to a flood of properties on to the market in the mid-1990s.
Low population growth is another factor. And whereas mortgage rules were relaxed elsewhere in the 1980s and 90s – with Britain allowing 95% mortgages – Germany has stuck to strict requirements on things such as the loan-to-value ratio.
Despite the big drop in house prices since the 1990s, Alexander Koch, of UniCredit in Munich, reckons that German properties are now “only moderately undervalued” compared with household incomes and construction prices.
“The historically low level of building permits should, overall, not produce a supply bottleneck, since the population in the age group when a household is established has already been declining for several years now,” says Koch.
He adds: “Overall and despite the general increase in the appeal of residential real estate, we expect no nationwide house price rally, merely a moderate nominal price increase, with greater potential in economically strong regions” such as Munich, Stuttgart, Wiesbaden, Frankfurt and Düsseldorf. Berlin, the German capital, is by no means the most expensive city; it is somewhere in the middle between Munich, the priciest, and Rostock, Schwerin and Bremerhaven, the cheapest, according to a comparison by UniCredit.
Posted in Business, Economics, Editorial, Europe, Germany, House News, Housing, Housing market, Money, Property, Real estate, The Guardian, World news | Comments Closed
Thursday, March 17th, 2011
Stress tests show Irish property prices could fall by 55%
House prices in Ireland could drop by 55% from peak to trough, according to stress tests being used by the Irish central bank to assess the true extent of bad debt in the country’s financial institutions. The outlook seems bleak, with house prices destined to fall by 55% between the peak of 2006 and trough of 2013.
The figures will be of little comfort to those homeowners who paid high prices during the boom that saw modest three-bedroom houses in Dublin selling at £1m.
The tests for commercial property also look bad for those trying to fill empty office space around Dublin and beyond. In the best case, the central bank is forecasting a 2.5% drop this year, but a massive 22% drop if the economy deteriorates further. The tests are being conducted by Blackrock Solutions and are designed to reveal the full potential losses at four Irish banks: Allied Irish, Bank of Ireland, Irish Life & Permanent and the EBS Building Society.
“Given what is going on in the world, with Japan and Bahrain, there could be a slowdown in global growth and Ireland is an open economy and hugely dependent on the international markets for exports. There is no growth at all on the domestic side and exports would be hit by a global deterioration,” said Alan McQuaid, chief economist at Bloxham Stockbrokers.Speculation has been rife that the test results will reveal a further black hole in Irish banks and lead to calls for a second bailout when they are published on 31 March. Some €35bn (£30bn) has already been earmarked under the IMF-EU assistance programme, but some leading banking figures predict another €15bn will be needed.
Blackrock looked at 15 key economic indicators including GDP growth, unemployment, investment, consumption and inflation. The best outlook is that GDP will grow 0.9% this year, but the worst is that it will shrink by 1.6% this year before moving back into a positive figure of 0.3% in 2012.
“I think they are right to err the risk on the downside instead of the upside,” he added.Speculation has been rife that the test results will reveal a further black hole in Irish banks and lead to calls for a second bailout when they are published on 31 March. Some €35bn (£30bn) has already been earmarked under the IMF-EU assistance programme, but some leading banking figures predict another €15bn will be needed.
Blackrock looked at 15 key economic indicators including GDP growth, unemployment, investment, consumption and inflation. The best outlook is that GDP will grow 0.9% this year, but the worst is that it will shrink by 1.6% this year before moving back into a positive figure of 0.3% in 2012.
Posted in Business, Europe, European debt crisis, House News, Ireland, Ireland bailout, Money, News, Property, The Guardian, World news | Comments Closed
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