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Budget 2011: Winners and losers

Thursday, March 24th, 2011

Who has gained – and who has been hit hard – after George Osborne’s budget

Winners

People with jobs – an allowance increase means everyone who pays income tax will be up, albeit only to the tune of about 90p a week, so few will be popping open the champagne.

Drivers, and drivers of gas-guzzlers in particular. George Osborne did not merely cancel the planned rise in fuel duty, but actually cut the rate by a penny. Fuel prices remain high, but motorists filling up cars with big tanks will be walking away with a whole handful of change that would otherwise have been snatched.

The right sort of fat cats. Shareholders and managers will welcome an unexpectedly large cut in the corporate tax rate, and entrepreneurs will be positively thrilled at being able to claim lifetime relief on capital gains of up to £10m.

The right sort of smokers. Under the fug of a promise of “restructuring cigarette duty”, consumers of costlier brands could escape the budget increase that long seemed inevitable, as the ad valorem (price related) part of the duty looks set to be cut in relation to the flat-rate component.

Cash-strapped town-halls – they didn’t get any immediate bail-out, but the promise of “auctions on planning permission” could provide them with a valuable new source of revenue, and might just have the effect of kickstarting the building trade.

Higher rate taxpayers. They will mostly share in this year’s allowance increase, which was restricted to basic rate payers last year. Much more important for the richest among them was Osborne’s commissioning of a study on the 50p super-tax rate, which could eventually presage the way for its abolition.

Losers

People without jobs, who remain in line to bear the brunt of the £18bn raid on the annual benefit bill that remains in the pipeline. Disabled people and renters of costly housing will be among the biggest losers, with some claimants in line for losses of £80 a week or more.

Treasury civil servants who, thanks to the creation of a fair fuel stabiliser, are landed with the virtually impossible task of figuring out when a rise in the oil price is merely a blip that invites a cut in duty as opposed to a permanent sign that the black stuff is running out.

The wrong sort of fat cats. The banks face a levy of an extra £630m this year, and unpopular non-doms will have to stump up an extra £20,000 a year in order to avoid being taxed like the rest of us.

The wrong sort of smokers, most particularly those who roll their own. Fears of smuggling saw the Treasury go easy on rolling tobacco for well over a decade, and rollies – which were once the preserve of long-hairs and students – made their way into the cash-strapped mainstream. Now prices will rise, as will those of cut-price cigarette brands.

Shire Tories who, together with conservationists and other Nimbys, could find it increasingly hard to see off building developments if councils are allowed to raise serious money by selling the right to build.

Liberal Democrats – the boost to allowances loomed large in their manifesto, but the party failed to spot how the Treasury will soon claw back the gains by restricting the way adjustments are made for inflation. By the end of this parliament, this wheeze will claw back the great bulk of the “giveaway” announced and, looking further ahead, it will start to push extra low-earners back into tax.

North Sea oil companies. While their customers laugh all the way to the pump, those parts of UK Plc whose business it is to extract the black stuff will see the taxman snatch quite a chunk of the extraordinary revenue oil is bringing in at the moment.


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George Osborne vows to ‘put fuel into the tank of the British economy’

Wednesday, March 23rd, 2011

• Fuel duty cut by 1p and fuel duty escalator scrapped
• Corporation tax cut by 2p – not 1p as expected
• Annual growth forecast revised down from 2.1% to 1.7%
• National insurance and income tax may be merged

George Osborne has levied a £2bn windfall tax on Britain’s North Sea oil companies to pay for a cut in petrol duties for motorists struggling because of the soaring price of crude oil on global markets.

The chancellor said he wanted his budget to “put fuel into the tank of the British economy”.

He told the Commons he was scrapping the previous Labour government’s plans for automatic above-inflation increases in fuel duties and would instead be cutting 1p a litre from forecourt prices from tonight.

In the sort of flourish that was Gordon Brown’s trademark at the end of his budgets, Osborne announced the fuel duty cut at the climax of a 56-minute speech built around the theme of boosting growth and rebalancing the economy. The cost of “filling up a family car such as a Ford Focus has increased by £10″, he said, and he wanted to do something to help.

He said he was cutting corporation tax by 2p in the pound this year rather than the 1p reduction previously planned, and announced a shake-up of planning laws and a bonfire of regulations in an attempt to stimulate enterprise.

However, the Labour leader, Ed Miliband, said Osborne’s claim to have delivered a budget for growth was undermined by a cut in the growth forecast for 2011 from 2.1% to 1.7%.

Osborne cast his second budget since becoming the chancellor in May as an “urgent call to action” in which the government would move from “rescue to reform and from reform to recovery”, building on the deficit reduction measures of 2010.

He said it was a fiscal plan designed to create an economy built on private sector growth and the “march of the makers” rather than using government spending and debt to encourage a recovery.

He added that his budget measures would be “fiscally neutral across the period, neither raising tax nor offering giveaways”.

The chancellor presented a package of measures to boost business and make Britain more competitive, help consumer confidence and claw revenue back elsewhere.

Osborne said Britain had “lost ground” in the world’s economy and needed to catch up. His budget set “four economic ambitions” for Britain: being the most competitive tax system in the G20; being the best place to “start, finance and grow a business”, with a more balanced economy and a more educated and “flexible” workforce.

Measures included a further 1% cut in corporation tax to make clear that “Britain is open for business” and an annual £1bn clampdown on tax avoidance.

“Today’s budget is about reforming the nation’s economy so that we can have enduring jobs and growth in the future, doing what we can to protect families from the high cost of living,” he said.

Presented against a deteriorating economic backdrop of rising oil prices, public sector austerity and low consumer confidence, the budget sought to appeal to Britain’s “squeezed middle” by announcing help for first-time home-buyers, and a boost for 25 million income taxpayers by raising the threshold on the personal tax allowance to £8,075 by April 2012.

With household bills and retail prices rising, the chancellor concentrated much of the money he has to play with on cutting fuel prices as the cost of petrol and diesel reached all-time national average highs (£1.33 and £1.40 respectively) to increase consumers’ spending power and help business.

The rise in fuel duty planned for next week will be delayed until 2012, and the fuel duty escalator that adds 1p to fuel duty on top of inflation each year to be cancelled for the rest of this parliament.

A fair fuel stabiliser to help keep costs down in future is to be funded by an increased levy on oil and gas production.

Osborne told MPs that helping families with the cost of living and backing enterprise and introducing “far-reaching reforms” to help the economy grow were “one and the same thing”.

He said: “It is the central understanding of this government – and core to our strategy – that these are not two separate tasks. They are one and the same thing.

“We are only going to raise the living standards of families if we have an economy that can compete in the modern age.

“So this is our plan for growth. We want the words ‘made in Britain’, ‘created in Britain’, ‘designed in Britain’, invented in Britain’ to drive our nation forward.

“A Britain carried aloft by the march of the makers. That is how we will create jobs and support families. We have put fuel into the tank of the British economy.”

But his package received short shrift from Miliband, who told him his economic strategy for Britain was “hurting, not working”.

Miliband challenged Osborne’s claim to have delivered a budget for growth, saying the government’s cuts were damaging the economic recovery.

“Every time he comes to this house, growth is downgraded,” he said. “One fact says it all, and he couldn’t bring himself to say it: growth down last year, this year and next year. It’s the same old Tories – it’s hurting, but it isn’t working.”

Other measures to protect the money in people’s pockets in Osborne’s budget include:

• Raising the income tax personal allowance by £630 next year, which comes on top of the £1,000 rise next month and lifting the threshold at which income tax is payable to just over £8,105 from April next year, a real terms increase of £48 a year (or £126 in cash terms) for those earning up to £115,000 a year.

The 550,000 taxpayers who earn more than £115,000 will lose £45 a year because they no longer have a personal allowance.

The latter measure will see a further 250,000 people taken out of income tax altogether, in a move that brings the coalition a step closer to its promise of delivering a £10,000 tax threshold by the 2015 general election.

• A £250m shared equity scheme for new homes, funded from the bank levy, to help 10,000 families. Those with a household income of less than £60,000 a year who can put down a 5% deposit on a new home will be eligible for an equity loan worth up to 20% of the value of the property jointly funded by the government and housebuilders.

The loan will be interest-free for five years and only be repayable when the house is sold.

In a budget designed to shift away from spending cuts to reduce the national debt to growth-enhancing measures, Osborne also published his growth strategy for business.

His bid to boost the private sector includes:

• The removal of £350m worth of regulation on businesses.

• A three-year moratorium on new domestic regulation for all businesses employing fewer than 10 people.

• New planning rules to require planners to prioritise growth and jobs with a new presumption in favour of sustainable development, while retaining existing controls on green belt land.

• Small business relief extended to October 2012, at a cost of £370m.

• Funding for 21 new enterprise zones.

• Funding for 40,000 new apprenticeships for unemployed young people.

The chancellor presented gloomy figures based on data from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) which confirmed that the recovery would move at a slower pace than previously forecast.

He said GDP growth estimates for 2011 had been cut from 2.1% to 1.7%, while 2012 was revised down to 2.5% from 2.6%.

He stressed that the long-term outlook was more upbeat as estimates for 2013 were held and forecasts for 2014 and 2015 were revised upwards to 2.9% from 2.8% and 2.8% from 2.7% respectively.

Osborne also revealed that the rate of inflation, currently at 4.4%, is not expected to drop back to the government’s 2% target until 2013, contrary to the Bank of England’s belief it will fall back by 2012.

But the chancellor said the government was on track to deliver a balanced structural budget and falling national debt by the end of parliament.

“Our fiscal mandate is to achieve a cyclically-adjusted current balance by the end of the rolling five-year forecast period – which is currently 2015-16,” he said.

“We have supplemented that with a fixed target for debt: so that debt should be falling as a proportion of GDP by the year 2015-16 as well.

“I can report to the house that the OBR confirm that on their central forecast we will meet both these objectives – a balanced structural current budget and falling national debt by the end of the parliament. Indeed, the forecast remains that we will meet both these objectives one year earlier.”

On tax, Osborne announced plans to make Britain’s tax system more competitive and simpler:

• Corporation tax will be reduced by 2% from April 2011 – rather than 1% as previously announced – and to fall by 1% in each of the next three years to reach 23%. In a bid to offset the effect of the reduction on banks, the bank levy rate will adjusted next year.

• “No less than 43 complex tax reliefs” would be abolished as part of a simplification of the tax system, Osborne said.

As part of the move, he confirmed widely trailed speculation that he would consult on scrapping the divide between income tax and national insurance as part of a drive to simplify taxation for business.

He said this would be a way for people to see more clearly how much they are being taxed, rather than to raise them, and make the system “fit for the modern age”.

Osborne balanced giveaways with fresh tax-raising measures, which included:

• The charge on non-domiciled taxpayers to increase from £30,000 for those here for seven years to £50,000 for those in the country for 12 years, raising more than £200m.

• A clampdown on the “injustice” of tax avoidance. Osborne said three forms of stamp duty land tax avoidance would be closed, capital gains rules for companies would be tightened and the practice of disguised remuneration, which sees highly paid employees offered tax-free, lifetime loans that are never repaid, would come to an end.

“In total, on the numbers audited by the independent OBR, the tax avoidance measures in this budget raise around £1bn a year – that’s £4bn over the parliament,” he added.

“We are doing more today to clamp down on tax avoidance than in any budget in recent years. And that gives us more resources, in a fiscally neutral budget, to help those families who do pay their taxes, but who are struggling with the daily cost of living.”


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Budget 2011: George Osborne plans boost for homebuyers and drivers

Wednesday, March 23rd, 2011

Chancellor to court medium earners in ‘steady as she goes’ budget despite rise in inflation and borrowing

George Osborne has told the cabinet his budget will set out the government’s plans to reform and rebalance the economy and help struggling families with the cost of living.

The chancellor will seek to appeal to Britain’s “squeezed middle” when he announces help for first-time buyers, motorists and 25 million income tax payers in a budget designed to tighten the Treasury’s grip on public spending.

Osborne briefed senior ministers including the prime minister, David Cameron, on the contents of his second budget at an 8am cabinet meeting at 10 Downing Street

Despite disappointing news for the public finances, the chancellor is expected to say that he has scope to raise the income tax personal allowance by £600 next year, fund a £250m shared equity scheme for new homes and defer the above-inflation increase in petrol duty due next month.

But he will balance tax giveaways with tax-raising measures, a crackdown on tax avoidance and “special measures” for overspending Whitehall departments in what sources insisted would be a “steady as she goes” package.

Cameron’s official spokesman told reporters: “The chancellor took the cabinet through the budget and set out the main aims … which are to set out our plans for reforming and rebalancing the nation’s economy and steps to help families with the cost of living.”

Osborne will outline a range of measures including a shake-up of planning laws, deregulation of employment laws affecting small businesses, and long-awaited plans for a green investment bank as the coalition seeks to shift the focus of the economy from deficit reduction to boosting growth.

The chancellor will admit that the UK’s growth prospects for 2011 have worsened since the autumn, with the independent Office for Budget Responsibility likely to pencil in an increase of around 1.8% in gross domestic product this year against the 2.1% it forecast in November.

But Osborne will signal his determination not to let the government’s deficit reduction plans slip, with controls designed to intensify pressure on ministers to rein in spending.

Departments failing to manage their budgets properly will be placed in special measures – akin to the Ofsted rating given to a failing school – with tough penalties.

These could include fines for overspending or being forced to seek Treasury authorisation for larger spending decisions.

City hopes that public borrowing for 2010-11 would come in £10bn below the £148bn forecast were dented by news that the deficit in February topped £10bn – the highest for the month since modern records began in 1993.

Meanwhile, inflation according to the consumer price index rose from 4% to a 28-month high of 4.4% last month, pushing up government spending on state benefits.

Dearer food, fuel and clothing were the main factors behind last month’s jump in inflation, which is now more than double the government’s 2% target.

The increase in the CPI measure of inflation was matched by a rise in the alternative yardstick of the cost of living, the retail prices index, which rose from 5.1% to 5.5% last month, its highest for 20 years.

In a move that will please the Liberal Democrat wing of the coalition, Osborne will say that the income tax personal allowance – due to go up to £7,475 next month – will be raised by more than inflation from next year.

The increase of around £600 – which comes on top of the £1,000 rise next month – will be worth an average of £45 a year for taxpayers earning up to £115,000 a year.

The 550,000 taxpayers who earn more than £115,000 will lose £45 a year because they no longer have a personal allowance.

Osborne will announce a joint scheme with the construction industry to help some of the potential first-time buyers currently frozen out of the housing market.

First-time buyers with a household income of less than £60,000 a year who can put down a 5% deposit on a new home will be eligible for an equity loan worth up to 20% of the value of the property jointly funded by the government and housebuilders.

The loan will be interest-free for five years, and will only be repayable when the house is sold.

With most first-time buyers only able to secure mortgages worth 75% of a property’s value, Osborne is expected to say his scheme will give some young people the chance to meet the exacting loan standards demanded by lenders in the wake of the financial crisis, lead to the building of 10,000 new homes and protect 40,000 jobs in the construction industry.

The year-long cabinet battle over Britain’s ability to invest in the next generation of green infrastructure will be resolved when a green investment bank is established with access to up to £3bn of funds, and an ability to borrow from April 2015.

Green groups will be disappointed about the deferral of borrowing powers but pleased at the higher than expected interim funding.

The battle over the bank was resolved on Sunday, and the outcome reflects a wider political struggle to ensure plans in the budget to ease pressure on the squeezed middle, including freezing planned fuel duty rises, do not strip the coalition of its green credentials.

Ministers admit the deferral of the bank’s borrowing powers to 2015-16 reflects Treasury determination to ensure net debt as a percentage of GDP is falling by 2015-16.

But they also argue that decisions on the next big wave of green investment projects, including offshore wind farms, do not need to be made until after 2015.

In a negotiating success for Chris Huhne, the energy secretary, the bank will be given access to £1bn of funds from 2012-13, as opposed to the earlier plan to wait until 2013-14.

The bank will also be given access, from 2012-13, to £775m from the asset sales from HS1, the superfast rail track between London and the Channel tunnel.

In addition, the bank will have access to £1bn from the sales from 2013-14 from Urenco, the company that makes enriched uranium from nuclear power. The government owns one-third of Urenco jointly with the Dutch government and German energy companies RWE and E.On.

The Treasury has given a guarantee that if the income from the sale of Urenco is not forthcoming, the green bank will have access to other funds.


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